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On November 14, 2025 at 12:48:02 PM UTC,
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Added resource 2025 NATIONAL BUDGET ANALYSIS to 2025 NATIONAL BUDGET ANALYSIS
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| 7 | "name": "Dr Sydney Mwamba" | 7 | "name": "Dr Sydney Mwamba" | ||
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| 13 | "name": "Esther Nchimunya Nyemba" | 13 | "name": "Esther Nchimunya Nyemba" | ||
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| 40 | "name": "https-pmrczambia-com-pmrc-2025-national-budget-analysis", | 40 | "name": "https-pmrczambia-com-pmrc-2025-national-budget-analysis", | ||
| 41 | "no_pii_confirmation": "1", | 41 | "no_pii_confirmation": "1", | ||
| 42 | "notes": "The Minister of Finance and National Planning, Dr | 42 | "notes": "The Minister of Finance and National Planning, Dr | ||
| 43 | Situmbeko Musokotwane, unveiled a K217.11 billion budget\r\non Friday, | 43 | Situmbeko Musokotwane, unveiled a K217.11 billion budget\r\non Friday, | ||
| 44 | 27th September 2025, under the theme \u201cBuilding Resilience for | 44 | 27th September 2025, under the theme \u201cBuilding Resilience for | ||
| 45 | Inclusive Growth and Improved\r\nLivelihoods.\u201d This year\u2019s | 45 | Inclusive Growth and Improved\r\nLivelihoods.\u201d This year\u2019s | ||
| 46 | theme indicates the Government\u2019s commitment to stimulate economic | 46 | theme indicates the Government\u2019s commitment to stimulate economic | ||
| 47 | growth\r\nand mitigate the impact of the drought on livelihoods | 47 | growth\r\nand mitigate the impact of the drought on livelihoods | ||
| 48 | through key revenue and expenditure measures.\r\nThe budget was | 48 | through key revenue and expenditure measures.\r\nThe budget was | ||
| 49 | presented in a an environment characterised by high expectations from | 49 | presented in a an environment characterised by high expectations from | ||
| 50 | citizens, who\r\nsee it as a solution to the current socioeconomic | 50 | citizens, who\r\nsee it as a solution to the current socioeconomic | ||
| 51 | challenges facing the country due to the drought.\r\nThe drought has | 51 | challenges facing the country due to the drought.\r\nThe drought has | ||
| 52 | resulted in prolonged load shedding hours, reduced agricultural | 52 | resulted in prolonged load shedding hours, reduced agricultural | ||
| 53 | productivity, and\r\na significant increase in the cost of living, | 53 | productivity, and\r\na significant increase in the cost of living, | ||
| 54 | profoundly affecting the livelihoods of many citizens and\r\nadversely | 54 | profoundly affecting the livelihoods of many citizens and\r\nadversely | ||
| 55 | impacting macroeconomic indicators. The extended hours of load | 55 | impacting macroeconomic indicators. The extended hours of load | ||
| 56 | shedding, combined with\r\ndiminished productivity in critical | 56 | shedding, combined with\r\ndiminished productivity in critical | ||
| 57 | economic sectors such as agriculture, led to a downward revision | 57 | economic sectors such as agriculture, led to a downward revision | ||
| 58 | of\r\nthe 2024 economic growth projection from 4.8% in the initial | 58 | of\r\nthe 2024 economic growth projection from 4.8% in the initial | ||
| 59 | 2024 budget speech to 2.3% in the 2024\r\nsupplementary | 59 | 2024 budget speech to 2.3% in the 2024\r\nsupplementary | ||
| 60 | budget.\r\nRegarding macroeconomic performance indicators, inflation | 60 | budget.\r\nRegarding macroeconomic performance indicators, inflation | ||
| 61 | had surged to 15.6% by September 2024,\r\nprimarily driven by food | 61 | had surged to 15.6% by September 2024,\r\nprimarily driven by food | ||
| 62 | price increases and currency depreciation. The kwacha\u2019s 2.8% | 62 | price increases and currency depreciation. The kwacha\u2019s 2.8% | ||
| 63 | depreciation\r\nagainst the US dollar in 2024, along with inflationary | 63 | depreciation\r\nagainst the US dollar in 2024, along with inflationary | ||
| 64 | pressures stemming from the drought, has eroded\r\nthe purchasing | 64 | pressures stemming from the drought, has eroded\r\nthe purchasing | ||
| 65 | power of Zambians. Additionally, the country\u2019s external debt | 65 | power of Zambians. Additionally, the country\u2019s external debt | ||
| 66 | stock rose to US$15.17 billion\r\nby mid-2024, presenting a | 66 | stock rose to US$15.17 billion\r\nby mid-2024, presenting a | ||
| 67 | significant challenge. However, progress in debt restructuring, | 67 | significant challenge. However, progress in debt restructuring, | ||
| 68 | particularly\r\nwith official creditors and bond holders, represents a | 68 | particularly\r\nwith official creditors and bond holders, represents a | ||
| 69 | step towards fiscal stability and long-term debt\r\nsustainability. In | 69 | step towards fiscal stability and long-term debt\r\nsustainability. In | ||
| 70 | addition to the domestic economic environment shaping the budget, | 70 | addition to the domestic economic environment shaping the budget, | ||
| 71 | there are also\r\ncritical global factors influencing its | 71 | there are also\r\ncritical global factors influencing its | ||
| 72 | implementation. According to the World Bank\u2019s 2024 Global | 72 | implementation. According to the World Bank\u2019s 2024 Global | ||
| 73 | Economic\r\nProspects report, the global economy is stabilising, but | 73 | Economic\r\nProspects report, the global economy is stabilising, but | ||
| 74 | the outlook remains subdued for both advanced\r\neconomies and | 74 | the outlook remains subdued for both advanced\r\neconomies and | ||
| 75 | emerging markets, with growth projected to be slower over 2024-2026 | 75 | emerging markets, with growth projected to be slower over 2024-2026 | ||
| 76 | compared to the\r\npre-pandemic decade. The June 2024 International | 76 | compared to the\r\npre-pandemic decade. The June 2024 International | ||
| 77 | Monetary Fund (IMF) report noted that the global\r\neconomy is | 77 | Monetary Fund (IMF) report noted that the global\r\neconomy is | ||
| 78 | stabilising after several years of overlapping negative shocks. | 78 | stabilising after several years of overlapping negative shocks. | ||
| 79 | Despite elevated financing\r\ncosts and increased geopolitical | 79 | Despite elevated financing\r\ncosts and increased geopolitical | ||
| 80 | tensions, global activity showed signs of improvement in early | 80 | tensions, global activity showed signs of improvement in early | ||
| 81 | 2024;\r\nglobal growth is expected to reach a slightly faster pace | 81 | 2024;\r\nglobal growth is expected to reach a slightly faster pace | ||
| 82 | this year than previously anticipated, mainly due\r\nto the continued | 82 | this year than previously anticipated, mainly due\r\nto the continued | ||
| 83 | solid expansion of the U.S. economy. Nonetheless, projected declines | 83 | solid expansion of the U.S. economy. Nonetheless, projected declines | ||
| 84 | in global growth\r\nare expected to remain stable at 3.2% in 2024 and | 84 | in global growth\r\nare expected to remain stable at 3.2% in 2024 and | ||
| 85 | 3.3% in 2025.\r\nDespite these challenges, Zambia has made significant | 85 | 3.3% in 2025.\r\nDespite these challenges, Zambia has made significant | ||
| 86 | progress in its efforts towards economic\r\nrecovery and | 86 | progress in its efforts towards economic\r\nrecovery and | ||
| 87 | transformation. The mining sector has seen a revival, with | 87 | transformation. The mining sector has seen a revival, with | ||
| 88 | longstanding issues at Konkola\r\nand Mopani Copper Mines being | 88 | longstanding issues at Konkola\r\nand Mopani Copper Mines being | ||
| 89 | resolved, alongside the entry of new investors in both mining and | 89 | resolved, alongside the entry of new investors in both mining and | ||
| 90 | nonmining sectors. Infrastructure development continues to be a | 90 | nonmining sectors. Infrastructure development continues to be a | ||
| 91 | Government priority, with investments in\r\nroad construction and the | 91 | Government priority, with investments in\r\nroad construction and the | ||
| 92 | expansion of social amenities reflecting its commitment to inclusive | 92 | expansion of social amenities reflecting its commitment to inclusive | ||
| 93 | growth.\r\nIn this context, the 2025 PMRC budget analysis will focus | 93 | growth.\r\nIn this context, the 2025 PMRC budget analysis will focus | ||
| 94 | on expenditures, policy options, and measures\r\nproposed to restore | 94 | on expenditures, policy options, and measures\r\nproposed to restore | ||
| 95 | economic growth and improve livelihoods in light of the drought | 95 | economic growth and improve livelihoods in light of the drought | ||
| 96 | experienced in\r\n2024. A critical component of the 2025 budget is the | 96 | experienced in\r\n2024. A critical component of the 2025 budget is the | ||
| 97 | revenue measure, with the Government aiming to\r\nfund 80.2% of the | 97 | revenue measure, with the Government aiming to\r\nfund 80.2% of the | ||
| 98 | budget through domestic resource mobilisation, making it the highest | 98 | budget through domestic resource mobilisation, making it the highest | ||
| 99 | proportion of\r\nlocally funded budgets ever recorded.", | 99 | proportion of\r\nlocally funded budgets ever recorded.", | ||
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| 138 | "description": "The Minister of Finance and National Planning, | ||||
| 139 | Dr Situmbeko Musokotwane, unveiled a K217.11 billion budget\r\non | ||||
| 140 | Friday, 27th September 2025, under the theme \u201cBuilding Resilience | ||||
| 141 | for Inclusive Growth and Improved\r\nLivelihoods.\u201d This | ||||
| 142 | year\u2019s theme indicates the Government\u2019s commitment to | ||||
| 143 | stimulate economic growth\r\nand mitigate the impact of the drought on | ||||
| 144 | livelihoods through key revenue and expenditure measures.\r\nThe | ||||
| 145 | budget was presented in a an environment characterised by high | ||||
| 146 | expectations from citizens, who\r\nsee it as a solution to the current | ||||
| 147 | socioeconomic challenges facing the country due to the drought.\r\nThe | ||||
| 148 | drought has resulted in prolonged load shedding hours, reduced | ||||
| 149 | agricultural productivity, and\r\na significant increase in the cost | ||||
| 150 | of living, profoundly affecting the livelihoods of many citizens | ||||
| 151 | and\r\nadversely impacting macroeconomic indicators. The extended | ||||
| 152 | hours of load shedding, combined with\r\ndiminished productivity in | ||||
| 153 | critical economic sectors such as agriculture, led to a downward | ||||
| 154 | revision of\r\nthe 2024 economic growth projection from 4.8% in the | ||||
| 155 | initial 2024 budget speech to 2.3% in the 2024\r\nsupplementary | ||||
| 156 | budget.\r\nRegarding macroeconomic performance indicators, inflation | ||||
| 157 | had surged to 15.6% by September 2024,\r\nprimarily driven by food | ||||
| 158 | price increases and currency depreciation. The kwacha\u2019s 2.8% | ||||
| 159 | depreciation\r\nagainst the US dollar in 2024, along with inflationary | ||||
| 160 | pressures stemming from the drought, has eroded\r\nthe purchasing | ||||
| 161 | power of Zambians. Additionally, the country\u2019s external debt | ||||
| 162 | stock rose to US$15.17 billion\r\nby mid-2024, presenting a | ||||
| 163 | significant challenge. However, progress in debt restructuring, | ||||
| 164 | particularly\r\nwith official creditors and bond holders, represents a | ||||
| 165 | step towards fiscal stability and long-term debt\r\nsustainability. In | ||||
| 166 | addition to the domestic economic environment shaping the budget, | ||||
| 167 | there are also\r\ncritical global factors influencing its | ||||
| 168 | implementation. According to the World Bank\u2019s 2024 Global | ||||
| 169 | Economic\r\nProspects report, the global economy is stabilising, but | ||||
| 170 | the outlook remains subdued for both advanced\r\neconomies and | ||||
| 171 | emerging markets, with growth projected to be slower over 2024-2026 | ||||
| 172 | compared to the\r\npre-pandemic decade. The June 2024 International | ||||
| 173 | Monetary Fund (IMF) report noted that the global\r\neconomy is | ||||
| 174 | stabilising after several years of overlapping negative shocks. | ||||
| 175 | Despite elevated financing\r\ncosts and increased geopolitical | ||||
| 176 | tensions, global activity showed signs of improvement in early | ||||
| 177 | 2024;\r\nglobal growth is expected to reach a slightly faster pace | ||||
| 178 | this year than previously anticipated, mainly due\r\nto the continued | ||||
| 179 | solid expansion of the U.S. economy. Nonetheless, projected declines | ||||
| 180 | in global growth\r\nare expected to remain stable at 3.2% in 2024 and | ||||
| 181 | 3.3% in 2025.\r\nDespite these challenges, Zambia has made significant | ||||
| 182 | progress in its efforts towards economic\r\nrecovery and | ||||
| 183 | transformation. The mining sector has seen a revival, with | ||||
| 184 | longstanding issues at Konkola\r\nand Mopani Copper Mines being | ||||
| 185 | resolved, alongside the entry of new investors in both mining and | ||||
| 186 | nonmining sectors. Infrastructure development continues to be a | ||||
| 187 | Government priority, with investments in\r\nroad construction and the | ||||
| 188 | expansion of social amenities reflecting its commitment to inclusive | ||||
| 189 | growth.\r\nIn this context, the 2025 PMRC budget analysis will focus | ||||
| 190 | on expenditures, policy options, and measures\r\nproposed to restore | ||||
| 191 | economic growth and improve livelihoods in light of the drought | ||||
| 192 | experienced in\r\n2024. A critical component of the 2025 budget is the | ||||
| 193 | revenue measure, with the Government aiming to\r\nfund 80.2% of the | ||||
| 194 | budget through domestic resource mobilisation, making it the highest | ||||
| 195 | proportion of\r\nlocally funded budgets ever recorded.", | ||||
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| 133 | "rights": "This document and trademark(s) contained herein are | 214 | "rights": "This document and trademark(s) contained herein are | ||
| 134 | protected by the laws of The Republic of Zambia. This electronic | 215 | protected by the laws of The Republic of Zambia. This electronic | ||
| 135 | representation of PMRC intellectual property is provided for non- | 216 | representation of PMRC intellectual property is provided for non- | ||
| 136 | commercial use only. Unauthorized posting of PMRC electronic documents | 217 | commercial use only. Unauthorized posting of PMRC electronic documents | ||
| 137 | to a non-PMRC website is prohibited. PMRC electronic documents are | 218 | to a non-PMRC website is prohibited. PMRC electronic documents are | ||
| 138 | protected under copyright law. Permission is required from PMRC to | 219 | protected under copyright law. Permission is required from PMRC to | ||
| 139 | reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of our research documents for | 220 | reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of our research documents for | ||
| 140 | commercial use. For information on reprint and linking permissions, | 221 | commercial use. For information on reprint and linking permissions, | ||
| 141 | please see PMRC Permissions . (www.pmrczambia.com/copyright).", | 222 | please see PMRC Permissions . (www.pmrczambia.com/copyright).", | ||
| 142 | "source": [ | 223 | "source": [ | ||
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| 168 | "title": "2025 NATIONAL BUDGET ANALYSIS", | 249 | "title": "2025 NATIONAL BUDGET ANALYSIS", | ||
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